A number of anomalies are identified that persistently skew the results in favour of the progovernment party, united russia ur, and its leader vladimir putin. Russian election hacking efforts, wider than previously. Statistical anomalies in 2011 2012 russian elections revealed by 2dcorrelation analysis. A protest movement demanding for fair elections spread all around russia. Political campaign planning manual preface in preparation for the 1995 russian duma elections, ndi political trainers ken payne, kate head, and sheila oconnell, along with russian experts aleksei shustov and oleg nikishenkov wrote the strategic election planning manual. The pentagon has launched a preemptive strike against the russian hackers who may have attacked the 2016 presidential election with social media influence campaigns. Jun 06, 2017 a 25yearold contractor has been charged with leaking nsa files that claim russian intelligence hacked at least one maker of voting software used in 2016s us elections. The muchheralded use of analytics in the 2008 and 2012 obama for america presidential campaigns raised public awareness of the value of data and analysis in politics. Statistical anomalies in 20112012 russian elections. Jun 09, 2011 the voiceanalysis system was developed by the speech technology center, a company whose other big clients include the federal security service the russian domestic intelligence agency. The leak represents the first solid evidence that russian election hacking has escalated beyond mere political leaks and disinformation to threaten the core systems of. Sep 01, 2017 russian election hacking efforts, wider than previously known, draw little scrutiny. The fbi squarely blamed russian intelligence services thursday for meddling in the 2016 u.
James ball sent me the data for the russian election vote counts this morning and asked me to test whether it deviates from benfords law, a test that can give a hint at whether numbers are the product of fraud. Dec 10, 2011 russian election protests saturday 10 december 2011 largest political event of its kind since the fall of the ussr an estimated 50,000 people gathered in moscow and 10,000 in st petersburg. It covers all lok sabha elections since 1952 and all state elections since 1977. Heres how to get started in election data analytics forbes. Mar 21, 2017 the fbi squarely blamed russian intelligence services thursday for meddling in the 2016 u. The central election commission of russia stated that only 11.
Presidential and parliamentary electoral results, as well as other data for ukraine polish elections. Dec 08, 2011 earlier this week vladimir putins spokesman predicted the world would soon see a new putin a putin 2. The leak represents the first solid evidence that russian election hacking has escalated beyond mere political leaks and disinformation to threaten the core systems of americas voting apparatus. Static forces and displacements and dynamic analyses. Russian election protests saturday 10 december 2011. Adsvote is an election result analyzer able to go from the raw results to a nice table and graph.
Now lets take a look if russian elections in 2011 follow the same logic. Site of the central election commission of the russian federation. Maryland elections company bought by russian oligarch. How russia hacks elections in the us and around the world wired. Russian election hacking efforts, wider than previously known, draw little scrutiny. People connected to the russian government tried to hack election related computer systems in 21 states, a department of homeland security official testified wednesday. The party was created in december 2001 by the merger of unity edinstvo, founded by government leaders in october 1999, with fatherlandall russia otechestvovsya rossiya, ovr, a rival in the 1999 elections. The 2011 20 russian protests which some english language media referred to as the snow revolution began in 2011 as protests against the 2011 russian legislative election results and continued into 2012 and 20. The proliferation of elections in even those states that are arguably anything but democratic has given rise to a focused interest on developing methods for detecting fraud in the official statistics of a states election returns.
Is there statistical evidence of fraud in the russian. As there was no official rally permit, the action was unapproved. Here we perform a statistical analysis of the official data from recent russian parliamentary and presidential elections held on december 4th, 2011 and march 4th, 2012, respectively. Data is limited for english version when compared to russian version. Finland, france, poland, romania, russia 2011, russia 2012, spain, switzerland, and uganda are shown. The challenges to crowdstrikes credibility are significant because the firm was the first to link last years hacks of democratic party computers to russian actors, and because crowdstrike cofounder dimiti alperovitch has trumpeted its ukraine report as more evidence of russian election tampering. Russia relations faced challenges during election cycles and from legislative and other actions in both countries in 201220. Flexpro, the analysis software for fast and easy data. Starting in the late 2000s, pro russian hackers bombarded the. Russian national elections in 2011 and 2012 human rights watch. An intelligence analysis yes, the russians might have hijacked the 2016 election, and could do it again. Among other things, the report said, russian intelligence services gained access to democratic national committee computers for nearly a year, from july 2015 to june 2016, and released hacked.
Try flexpro on your measured data analysis projects. Nov 21, 2011 president dmitri medvedevs announcement in september 2011 that prime minister vladimir putin would run for president in 2012 led many analysts to believe that his election is a foregone. I have a deep interest in freedom of speech and knowledge. Source document contributed to documentcloud by the intercept the intercept. Software requirement specification for online national. From left to right the four curves represent mexican legislative election 2009, second round of polish presidential election in 2010, bulgarian legislative election in 2009 and swedish legislative election in 2010. During the 2016 presidential election, americas election infrastructure was targeted by actors sponso. Maryland elections company bought by russian oligarch close. Russia pm vladimir putin accuses us over poll protests bbc news. On 18 september, russians will go to the polls to elect representatives to state duma, the lower house of parliament.
Foisting blame for cyberhacking on russia consortiumnews. Party list headed by president putin during the 2007 election campaign, and endorsed by him in 2003. Flexpro, the measured data analysis software from weisang, makes it extremely easy to present, analyze and manage your measured data. State has halted use of russian software in election systems, hosemann says geoff pender, mississippi clarion ledger published 5. Posted below is my analysis, and also a check for last digit preference, which is another method for spotting sneakiness. Pedrycz, software engineering an engineering approach. Pdf statistical anomalies in 20112012 russian elections. Russian legislative elections 2011 statistical evidence. It says that not only did russian hackers send phishing emails in august 2016 to employees of a voting technology company that developed software used by.
Dagmein khaseinova beams with pride recalling the day her chechen village, devastated a decade ago in a war launched by vladimir putin, gave the russian rulers party nearly 100 percent support in. The software is intended for analysis and design of building and mechanical engineering structures of different purposes. In an exchange that began in halting english and quickly switched to russian, milton said she was impressed by the researchers work on exploits the digital lock picks used by hackers to break. The 2011 russian legislative elections were considered to be rigged in favor of the ruling party by a number of journalists and opposition representatives. Overview the remainder of this document identifies the actors, usecases, usecase scenarios, activity diagrams, assumptions and dependencies needed for the analysis and design of the online national election voting software package. Foisting blame for cyberhacking on russia original.
Structural analysis and design software lira family products. Interests congressional research service many observers argued that the obama administrations efforts to foster improved u. But these comments blaming the west for the street protests are very much old software. Software for analyzing fingerprints used by the fbi and more than 18,000 other u. Russian interference in the 2016 united states elections. At a joint press conference at the russian centre of industry and trade in moscow today, a panel of observers concluded, in contrary to reports of violations, that the election process was good. The election demonstrated that analytics fueled by big data and advancement in computing technology has become an integral part of the presidential. How close did russia really come to hacking the 2016 election.
This manual has been one of the most popular publications in. To carry out a detailed analysis of the autumn 2010 and spring 2011 election cycles in russia, which will include press monitoring, monitoring of political agitation, activity of electoral commissions, and other aspects of the application of electoral legislation in the longterm runup to the elections. Russian political, economic, and security issues and u. The evidence from economic research in 2014, uk house prices per square metre were the second highest in the world topped only by monaco, with especially high in london and the south east.
Officials suggest that this is an attempt to encourage greater competition. Fbi fingerprint software could contain russian code. Lirasapr is comprehensive software package that benefits from bim technology. Ostensibly, the film is quite simple, yet there is a lot of fertile ground for analysis. Read chapter 4 analysis of components of elections. Milton claimed to work for the moscowbased antivirus firm kaspersky. The last few weeks have brought renewed attention to the security and reliability of our voting systems. The crudest tool at russias disposal for election interference has been to simply knock the oppositions website off the internet. Election results for the czech republic for the chamber of.
Russian military intelligence executed a cyberattack on at least one u. Within the wm family i am an editor and sysop on the english wp, am lightly involved in wikibookscommons and was previously active on wikinews. Wikimedia foundation electionsboard elections2011candidatesen. Currently, it works for constituencies with proportional allocation methods like dhondt or saintelague. Hypocrisy behind the russianelection frenzy consortiumnews. Apr 25, 2012 on parliamentary election day, 4 december 2011, russian hackers launched a massive ddos attack on, the website run by authors irina borogan and andrei soldatov, and a number of other.
Jul 14, 2018 a company that provides key services for maryland elections has been bought by a parent company with links to a russian oligarch close to vladimir putin, state officials said on friday after a. Russian election protests saturday 10 december 2011 world. This includes easing rules for the registering of political parties and the reintroduction of direct elections for regional governors. The russian leadership has sought to reset political life since flawed elections in 2011. Aug 01, 2018 moscow ap six years ago, a russianspeaking cybersecurity researcher received an unsolicited email from kate s. Russian election protests saturday 10 december 2011 largest political event of its kind since the fall of the ussr an estimated 50,000 people gathered in moscow and 10,000 in st petersburg. A company that provides key services for maryland elections has been bought by a parent company with links to a russian oligarch close to. Sep 25, 2019 kurtz and dmitri alperovitch, both exmcafee executives, founded the company in 2011. Labour held 72 of the 100 constituencies with the most working class households defined as c2de using data from the 2011 census.
Sep 25, 2012 researchers use new statistical method to show fraudulent voting in russian election. What to know about russias parliamentary elections chatham. Washington ap robert mueller warned that russian interference is still happening as we sit here. However public opinionpolls prior to the election suggested that the ruling party could count on the support of 4555 percent of voters, which may suggest that there were no mass. Russians launched projill stein social media blitz to. Researchers use new statistical method to show fraudulent. Russia did meddle in us election, but its goal was not to elect trump december 11, 2016 by joseph fitsanakis 7 comments no person familiar with the theory and practice of intelligence will be shocked by allegations that russia interfered in the recent american presidential election. The russian federation has created limitations that are not conducive to undertaking election observation. At stake were the 450 seats in the 6th state duma, the lower house of the federal assembly of russia the legislature. Big data, analytics and elections analytics magazine. Legislative elections were held in russia on 4 december 2011. Nov 29, 2016 the muchheralded use of analytics in the 2008 and 2012 obama for america presidential campaigns raised public awareness of the value of data and analysis in politics. Jul 18, 2018 in a sequel to the timeline of the 2016 election documentary that i made last year, this video analyzes why president trump won the 2016 presidential election.
Analysis in of the 2019 general election in maps and charts. What to know about russias parliamentary elections. The osce has also withdrawn its attempts to monitor the elections. Nvaluations ew houses are about 40% smaller than in similarly densely populated european. The empirical data consists of articles from two newspapers, kommersant an independent newspaper and komsomolskaya pravda typically portrayed as a newspaper faithful to the. December 28, 2011 results from russias parliamentary vote earlier this month are studded with red flags that suggest broad electoral fraud, according to a wall street journal analysis. International observers comment on the validity of russian.
Russian election hacking efforts, wider than previously known. As soon as the movie finished, i wanted to watch it again despite it being about two in the. The may 2014 ukrainian presidential election was disrupted by cyberattacks over several days, including the release of hacked emails, attempted alteration of vote tallies, and distributed denialofservice attacks to delay the final result. Nsa document a newly published national security agency report shows that russian hacking went further than previously known shares. Even though election data is available online, it is not easily searchable or cannot be consumed in structured formats necessary for analysis. Alperovitch, a russian expat, is crowdstrikes chief technology officer. On 4 november 2011, a month before elections, during the annual russian march event representatives of the nationalist the russians movement declared a protest action to begin on the election day after polling closes. Two former employees of a subsidiary of the french firm. The goal of this thesis is to analyze how two russian newspapers covered the rallies.
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